U.S. stocks fell on Tuesday, marking a historically difficult month for markets, with AI darling Nvidia (NVDA) and chip stocks dragging tech stocks lower. Meanwhile, attention turned to a week of economic and labor market data, led by a key monthly jobs report.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) lost 1%, or more than 400 points. The S&P 500 (^GSPC) lost 1.4%, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) fell 2.4%.
Stock prices are falling back from their highs as Wall Street settles down after a turbulent August and faces a potentially stormy September. Investors are weighing the risk of data shocks or presidential election surprises in a month that is typically terrifying for traders.
Early trading on Tuesday didn’t exactly offer a rosy outlook. Nvidia (NVDA) fell more than 7% on Tuesday as investors continue to retreat following a lackluster earnings report and lingering questions about the future of AI trading. Other chip stocks fell in lockstep, with Broadcom (AVGO), Qualcomm (QCOM) and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSM) all down more than 5%.
Another important topic is the August employment report, due out on Friday, which could influence how much the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates at its meeting later this month. With inflation now easing, policymakers are eagerly awaiting a recovery in the labor market.
The main question for investors is whether signs of a slowdown in the July employment report were overdone – or whether it is an early warning of a broader slowdown. Any signs of stress should put pressure on the Fed to cut rates more. According to the CME FedWatch tool, traders on Tuesday calculated a 31% probability of a 50 basis point cut, up from 25 basis points.
According to the latest figures from the Institute for Supply Management (ISM), the US manufacturing index rose slightly last month. However, the figure reflects slower factory activity and is below a threshold that suggests a decline in the manufacturing sector.
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